Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers, CBS, 6:30 PM (ET)
For John Harbaugh’s Baltimore Ravens, the third time better be the charm. When they kick off Sunday evening for the AFC Championship, it will be the third time these division rivals have faced-off this season. The Steelers won both of the previous meetings by a combined seven points, so expect another close one at Heinz Field. “Big Ben” Roethlisberger and “Fast” Willie Parker (totally creative nicknames, right?) will lead the offensive charge against the second ranked defense in the NFL, second only to, you guessed it, the Steelers. Points will be a premium with these great defenses, and turnovers will be the best way to set up scores. Each team places a strong emphasis on establishing the run, so whatever offense line can impose their will on the opposing front seven will aid their title aspirations tremendously. However, in this writer’s humble opinion, it will be a play or two downfield to a wide receiver that ultimately decides what team continues their march. Each defense is tremendously aggressive because they have ball-hawking safeties to protect against the deep ball. Baltimore’s Ed Reed and Pittsburgh’s Troy Polamalu are the best safeties in the league, but even they are susceptible to a deep throw one or twice a game. Reed led the league in interceptions, so accuracy will be integral to any throw in his area, as will the pre-snap reads to determine where he’ll be. Polamalu, on the other hand, may not be his quickest with a strained calf muscle. Beating him deep with a double move or a speedy fly route could put seven points on the board if it begins with a play action fake. Rookie Joe Flacco has a big enough arm, but he’ll need one of his receivers to make it happen. Flacco hasn’t been asked to do much in the playoffs, despite Baltimore-loyal proclaiming his greatness. I suspect he’ll be kept under 20 attempts if the game is kept close on the scoreboard. Roethlisberger will get more of a chance to dissect the Ravens secondary, but only if he’s protected sufficiently by his offensive line. An upright and mobile Roethlisberger has the ability to win any game at any time, so Tomlin better keep him that way. Watch for a field goal in the last few minutes of regulation to decide who heads to Tampa.
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